By Walt Hickey
Welcome to the Numlock Sunday edition.
This week, I spoke to my friend and former FiveThirtyEight colleague Neil Paine who writes an outstanding newsletter over at
. With the start of the NFL season dawning rapidly upon us, I wanted to have him on to talk a little bit about forecasting in general and how data people are continuing to try to describe sports.Neil can be found at his Substack, I really love it. You should be sure to check out his NFL projections:
This interview has been condensed and edited.
Neil Paine, thank you very much for coming back on.
Walter Hickey, thank you for having me.
I am a huge fan of your work. I really, really love your newsletter. It is a very, very fun way to talk about sports. It is numbers-driven, but also still deeply, deeply fun and personable and exciting to read in the inbox whenever you come out with stuff. So, as we are on the precipice of the NFL season, I wanted to have you on.
Some might even say the cusp.
The cusp! Yes. What’s co…
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